MANILA, July 10, 2026 — Typhoon "Inday" is bearing down on the northern Philippines this Thursday, bringing stormy, dangerous conditions to Batanes while the Southwest Monsoon simultaneously drenches much of Visayas and Mindanao, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). The agency's 24-hour public weather forecast, issued at 4:00 AM today and valid until 4:00 AM on July 11, 2026, paints a picture of a country under pressure from two simultaneous weather systems — a situation that demands caution from millions of Filipinos across all three major island groups.
What Is Driving Today's Weather
Two distinct systems are shaping Philippine weather today. The dominant force in the north is Typhoon "Inday" (carrying the international name Bavi), a powerful tropical cyclone that PAGASA located 640 kilometers east of Basco, Batanes as of 3:00 AM this morning, at coordinates 20.1°N, 128.1°E. A tropical cyclone of this intensity is a large, organized storm system that draws enormous amounts of energy from warm ocean water, producing violent winds and heavy rainfall that can affect areas hundreds of kilometers from its center. Inday is packing maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, with gusts reaching up to 185 km/h, and is tracking northwestward at 20 km/h.
In the central and southern Philippines, a separate but equally significant weather driver is at work: the Southwest Monsoon, locally known as habagat. The habagat is a seasonal wind pattern in which moisture-laden winds blow in from the southwest across the South China Sea and the Sulu Sea, feeding clouds and rain over Palawan, Visayas, and Mindanao. While it does not carry the violent winds of a typhoon, the habagat sustains prolonged, widespread rainfall that raises the risk of flooding in low-lying areas and landslides on hillsides and mountain slopes.
Region-by-Region Forecast
Northern Luzon
Batanes faces the most severe conditions in the country today. PAGASA describes the weather there as stormy, driven directly by Typhoon Inday. Residents can expect violent, sustained winds, heavy rainfall, and seas too dangerous for any vessel. Flash floods and landslides are a real and present threat, and wind damage to structures and property — from minor to moderate — is possible. Anyone in the Batanes island group should treat today as a stay-indoors day and follow instructions from local government units and disaster risk management authorities.
Cagayan (including the Cagayan Valley region), Apayao, and Kalinga will experience rains with gusty winds, also attributed to Typhoon Inday. Flash floods and landslides are possible, and residents should exercise caution in low-lying and mountainous areas. Minor to minimal threats to life and property from strong wind gusts are expected.
Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Abra, Kalinga (the parts of the region not already listed under Cagayan Valley), the rest of the Ilocos Region, the rest of Cagayan Valley, and the rest of Central Luzon, as well as Quezon province — these areas can expect cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, caused by Typhoon Inday. Moderate to at times heavy rainfall in these areas raises the risk of flash floods and landslides, and residents should be alert, particularly near rivers, drainage channels, and sloped terrain.
PAGASA also lists Zambales, Aurora, and Nueva Ecija together with portions of the northern Luzon forecast zones as experiencing similar overcast, rainy conditions tied to the typhoon's outer rain bands.
Metro Manila and Southern Luzon
The National Capital Region — including Metro Manila — along with the Zamboanga Peninsula, MIMAROPA (Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan), Bicol Region, Southern Luzon, and the rest of Visayas will see cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, this time driven by the Southwest Monsoon rather than the typhoon. Commuters in Metro Manila should expect intermittent downpours and possible street flooding, particularly in flood-prone barangays. Flash floods and landslides remain a concern across the region, especially in Bicol where mountainous terrain amplifies rainfall hazards.
Visayas
Most of the Visayas will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms today, as the Southwest Monsoon pushes moisture inland. Flash floods and landslides are possible, and residents in coastal low-lying communities and upland areas should stay alert. Portions of Visayas that fall under the Inday rain-band zone may see heavier bursts. PAGASA notes the Southwest Monsoon is specifically affecting the Visayas region, meaning rainfall may be persistent rather than purely storm-related.
Mindanao
The Southwest Monsoon will bring Palawan and Mindanao — including the rest of Mindanao not covered by other zone descriptions — a forecast of rainshowers or thunderstorms, some of which may be severe. PAGASA warns that severe thunderstorms in these areas can trigger flash floods and landslides. Residents in Davao, SOCCSKSARGEN, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, BARMM, and Zamboanga Peninsula should be on alert, particularly those living near rivers, mountain slopes, and coastal estuaries that are vulnerable to rapid water-level rises.
Decoding the Warnings: What Each Alert Level Means for You
The most critical weather conditions today are concentrated in Batanes, where Typhoon Inday's proximity makes the situation genuinely dangerous. PAGASA's classification of Batanes weather as "stormy" reflects the combination of gale-force winds, heavy rainfall, and hazardous seas caused by the typhoon passing to the east.
In the rest of the country, the active warnings are tied to rainfall risk — the threat of flash floods and landslides from moderate to heavy and at times severe thunderstorms associated with both the typhoon's outer bands and the Southwest Monsoon. Understanding what these alerts mean and what actions to take is essential. For a plain-language explainer on the full range of PAGASA's warning systems, read how to read PAGASA's weather warnings.
In practical terms: when PAGASA describes possible flash floods and landslides, this is not a remote hypothetical — it is an active risk that requires residents in vulnerable areas to identify their evacuation routes now, keep an eye on rising water levels, and heed any evacuation orders from local officials immediately.
Wind and Sea Conditions Nationwide
Sea and coastal conditions are dangerous across multiple areas today. PAGASA's forecast for winds and coastal waters breaks down as follows:
Batanes, Cagayan (including the Babuyan Islands), and the northeastern coasts of Luzon face the roughest seas, directly under Typhoon Inday's influence. Winds are strong to gale-force, coming from the northwest, and wave heights in these areas will be hazardous for all vessels. No small boat or fishing craft should be at sea in these zones under any circumstances.
Southern Luzon, Visayas, and the northern parts of Mindanao will experience moderate to strong southwesterly winds with rough to very rough seas, driven by the Southwest Monsoon. Wave heights are described as moderate, reaching roughly 1.2 to 2.8 meters in some zones.
The rest of Mindanao can expect light to moderate southwesterly winds with slight to moderate seas. While conditions are comparatively calmer in the far south, small boat operators should still exercise caution and monitor PAGASA advisories closely before venturing out.
What Today's Weather Means for You
Commuters in Metro Manila and urban Luzon: Expect intermittent to persistent rain throughout the day, with the potential for street flooding during heavier downpours. Build extra travel time into your schedule, keep a raincoat or umbrella accessible, and avoid walking through floodwater of unknown depth.
Fisherfolk and small-boat operators nationwide: Today is not a day to go out to sea in most parts of the country. Rough to very rough conditions affect large stretches of Philippine waters — from the seas around Batanes and northeastern Luzon (where conditions are at their most dangerous due to Typhoon Inday) down through the Visayan seas and much of Mindanao's coastlines. PAGASA's wind and coastal water data makes clear that safe fishing and maritime operations are severely limited today. Stay ashore and wait for updated advisories.
Farmers: While rainfall can benefit crops in areas experiencing dry conditions, the risk of flash flooding and agricultural runoff is significant today, particularly in Cagayan Valley, Bicol, and parts of Mindanao. Farmers in sloped areas should avoid fieldwork, especially if rainfall has been heavy overnight, as water-saturated soil increases landslide risk dramatically.
Students, parents, and schools: In areas under the most severe weather — particularly Batanes and Cagayan — local government units may suspend classes. Parents should monitor announcements from their local government and DepEd division offices. Even in Metro Manila and other areas with scattered thunderstorm forecasts, afternoon rain can be intense and sudden, so students should be prepared with rain gear or plan to shelter in place until downpours ease.
Outdoor workers and construction crews: Gale-force gusts in the northern Philippines and strong monsoon winds across the rest of the country make open-air, elevated, and scaffolding work especially hazardous today. Employers and workers should assess conditions before proceeding with outdoor tasks and have contingency plans to halt work if winds or rain intensify.
Temperature and Humidity Outlook
Based on data recorded at the PAGASA weather station in Science Garden, Diliman, Quezon City, yesterday's maximum temperature reached 34°C, recorded at 3:00 PM, while the minimum temperature was 26°C at 6:00 AM. Relative humidity peaked at a high of 88% and dropped to a minimum of 58% at 3:00 PM. With widespread cloud cover and rain expected across the country today, temperatures in most areas will likely feel cooler than recent days, though high humidity combined with any breaks in cloud cover could still produce uncomfortable heat-index conditions in sheltered inland areas.
Tides and Astronomical Information
PAGASA also provides the following tidal and astronomical data for today, July 10, 2026: Sunrise is at 5:35 AM and sunset at 6:23 PM. Moonrise is at 4:08 AM, with moonset at 4:21 PM. The moon is currently at 22% illumination. High tide is expected at 11:51 AM and low tide at 6:05 AM. Coastal communities and fisherfolk should factor tide timing into their safety planning, particularly given the rough sea conditions forecast for today.
Bottom Line
Bottom line: The single most important thing you can do today is stay away from flooded roads, swollen rivers, and the open sea. Typhoon Inday is a serious storm affecting Batanes and northern Luzon, and the Southwest Monsoon is pushing widespread rain and thunderstorms through Visayas and Mindanao simultaneously. Across the Philippines, the risk of flash floods and landslides is real today — do not attempt to cross flooded areas on foot or by vehicle, and if you live near a riverbank or on a hillside, know your evacuation route before you need it.
Monitor official PAGASA updates at pagasa.dost.gov.ph