QUEZON CITY — Residents across the eastern portions of the Philippines should brace for a wet and stormy Friday, November 6, 2026, as scattered rains, thunderstorms, and the threat of flash floods and landslides are expected in Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Oriental, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warned in its 4:00 AM forecast bulletin.
The rest of the country is not entirely spared. Metro Manila and most other areas will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms that can still produce dangerous localized flooding when they strike. PAGASA's forecast is valid through 4:00 AM on Saturday, November 7, 2026.
What Is Driving Today's Weather
Two separate weather systems are shaping conditions across the country today, according to PAGASA.
The northeast monsoon, known in Filipino as amihan, is influencing Northern Luzon. The amihan is a seasonal wind pattern that blows cold, dry air from the Asian continent southward toward the Philippines, typically producing cooler temperatures and lighter, more intermittent rains in the northern regions. Today, it is bringing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only isolated light rains to the Ilocos Region, the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), and Cagayan Valley — relatively benign conditions compared with the rest of the country.
The easterlies — winds blowing in from the Pacific Ocean to the east — are responsible for the cloudier, rainier, and stormier conditions affecting the Visayas, Mindanao, and the rest of Luzon.
Separately, PAGASA reported that a tropical depression is currently located outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), approximately 3,145 km east of Central Luzon, at coordinates 16.4°N, 151.6°E. As of 3:00 AM today, it was packing maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h, moving westward at 30 km/h. Because it remains well outside PAR and no warning has been issued for the Philippines in connection with this system, it poses no direct threat to the country at this time. PAGASA will continue to monitor its track and development.
Region-by-Region Forecast
Luzon
In Northern Luzon — covering the Ilocos Region, the Cordillera Administrative Region, and Cagayan Valley — the northeast monsoon will produce partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains. PAGASA notes no significant impact is expected in these areas today,
The rest of Luzon, including Metro Manila, will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by the easterlies. While conditions may not look severe throughout the day, PAGASA flags the possibility of flash floods or landslides during episodes of severe thunderstorms. Residents and commuters in Metro Manila should be prepared for sudden, heavy downpours at any point during the forecast period.
Wind conditions across extreme northern Luzon will be moderate, blowing from the northeast to east. Coastal waters off extreme northern Luzon will be moderate, with wave heights of 1.2 to 2.5 meters — conditions that are considered potentially hazardous for small vessels. The rest of Luzon will see light to moderate winds from the northeast to east, with slight to moderate coastal waters carrying wave heights of 0.6 to 2.5 meters.
Visayas
Eastern Visayas is among the hardest-hit areas today. PAGASA forecasts cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, driven by the easterlies. The agency specifically warns of possible flash floods or landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rains — Residents in low-lying areas and near slopes in provinces such as Leyte, Southern Leyte, Samar, Eastern Samar, and Northern Samar should stay alert.
Winds across the Visayas will be light to moderate, blowing from the northeast, with coastal waters classified as slight to moderate, with wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
Mindanao
In Mindanao, Caraga and Davao Oriental will share the same cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorm conditions as Eastern Visayas. The easterlies are equally active here, and PAGASA warns of the same risk: possible flash floods or landslides from moderate to at times heavy rainfall. Communities in mountainous and coastal areas of these provinces should monitor conditions closely throughout the day.
Winds across Mindanao will be light to moderate from the northeast, with slight to moderate coastal waters at wave heights of 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
Decoding the Warnings
PAGASA has not raised any tropical cyclone wind signals in connection with today's forecast. The weather hazards flagged today — flash floods and landslides — are associated with rainfall intensity rather than a named storm. No formal rainfall warning color codes (yellow, orange, or red) have been included in this particular bulletin, but the agency's explicit mention of "moderate to at times heavy rains" and the possibility of flash floods and landslides in Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Oriental is an advisory to exercise caution.
If PAGASA issues a rainfall warning or raises it to yellow, orange, or red during the day, the color tells you how serious the rain rate is and what action to take. For a full plain-language guide, read how to read PAGASA's weather warnings.
Similarly, a gale warning has not been issued in this bulletin. However, the moderate coastal waters off extreme northern Luzon — with waves of 1.2 to 2.5 meters — are considered risky for small, non-motorized, and lightly built vessels.
What It Means for You
Commuters in Metro Manila and across the rest of Luzon, the Visayas, and Mindanao should plan for sudden, potentially heavy downpours at any hour. Keep an umbrella or rain gear on hand, allow extra travel time, and avoid low-lying roads and underpasses during heavy rain episodes. Flash floods can develop quickly, even in urban areas.
Fisherfolk and small-boat operators in extreme northern Luzon are advised to exercise caution or consider deferring sea travel. Wave heights of 1.2 to 2.5 meters can be difficult and dangerous to navigate in small vessels. Those operating off the Visayas and Mindanao coasts face slight to moderate seas with waves up to 2.1 meters — manageable for larger craft but still a hazard for small boats, particularly during thunderstorm episodes when conditions can deteriorate rapidly.
Farmers in Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Oriental should secure crops, equipment, and livestock ahead of moderate to at times heavy rains. Soil saturation from sustained rainfall can increase the risk of slope failure and runoff damage in agricultural areas on hilly terrain.
Students, parents, and school administrators in Leyte, Samar, and the Caraga and Davao Oriental provinces should monitor local government announcements regarding class suspensions, as flash flood and landslide alerts in these areas may prompt precautionary measures from local authorities.
Outdoor and construction workers throughout the country, but especially in the affected eastern regions, should monitor sky conditions closely. Thunderstorms can arrive with little warning, and lightning, strong gusts, and sudden heavy rain pose direct risks to people working outdoors or at elevation.
Temperature and Humidity Outlook
PAGASA recorded temperature and humidity data at the Science Garden weather station in Diliman, Quezon City, for the 24-hour period ending at 8:00 PM on November 5, 2026. The maximum temperature recorded was 32.7°C, observed at 4:00 PM, while the minimum relative humidity was 21.6%, recorded at 5:00 AM. The maximum relative humidity reached 92% and the minimum temperature was recorded at 49°C — wait, the source data lists 49 as the minimum relative humidity figure.
The sun will rise over Metro Manila at 5:53 AM and set at 5:26 PM today. The moon rises at 3:05 AM and sets at 3:14 PM, with an illumination of only 8% — a nearly new moon — meaning nights will be quite dark,
Bottom Line
If you are in Eastern Visayas, Caraga, or Davao Oriental today, treat this as a high-alert day: moderate to heavy rains and thunderstorms are expected, and the risk of flash floods and landslides is real. Stay away from riverbanks, steep slopes, and flood-prone areas. Everyone else should still keep rain gear handy and watch for sudden thunderstorms. Fisherfolk in extreme northern Luzon should take extra caution at sea given the moderate wave conditions.
Monitor official PAGASA updates at pagasa.dost.gov.ph.