Typhoon Samuel (international name: Cempaka) has exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) confirmed in Tropical Cyclone Bulletin No. 2F, issued at 5:00 PM on Monday, November 9, 2026.
As of 4:00 PM Monday, the center of Samuel was located approximately 1,415 kilometers east northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon, already outside PAR, at coordinates 24.1°N, 135.1°E. No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are currently in effect anywhere in the country.
Samuel's Intensity as It Moves Away
At the time of the bulletin, Samuel was carrying maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, with gustiness of up to 160 km/h and a central pressure of 975 hPa, according to PAGASA. The typhoon was moving east northeastward at 10 km/h, with tropical cyclone-force winds extending outward up to 350 kilometers from its center.
PAGASA's forecast track shows the system continuing to intensify as it accelerates over the Pacific Ocean. By 2:00 AM on Tuesday, November 10, sustained winds are expected to reach 140 km/h at a position 1,530 km east northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon. The storm is forecast to maintain that intensity through 2:00 PM Tuesday before beginning to weaken.
By 2:00 AM on Wednesday, November 11, Samuel is expected to be carrying 130 km/h winds at 2,260 km east northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon. By 2:00 PM Wednesday, it is forecast to weaken to Severe Tropical Storm category with sustained winds of 110 km/h at a distance of 2,720 km from Extreme Northern Luzon — entirely within the Pacific Ocean and well outside PAR throughout the forecast period.
PAGASA noted that Samuel is expected to reach its peak intensity on the night of Monday, November 9, or early Tuesday morning, after which unfavorable atmospheric conditions will drive a weakening trend.
Northeast Monsoon Brings Strong Winds to Luzon and Visayas
Although Samuel itself is no longer within PAR, PAGASA said in its bulletin that the Northeast Monsoon will continue to bring strong to gale-force gusts across wide areas of the country, particularly in coastal and upland zones exposed to winds.
On Monday, November 9, affected areas include most of Luzon and Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Sarangani. The same conditions are expected to persist on Tuesday, November 10, through Wednesday, November 11, with Lanao del Norte no longer listed in the extended forecast but all other areas remaining affected.
PAGASA also noted that Samuel is "less likely to directly affect the weather condition of the country throughout the forecast period."
Gale Warning Off Northern and Western Luzon
A Gale Warning remains in effect over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon, according to PAGASA's Gale Warning No. 1 issued at 5:00 PM on Monday. Sea conditions in those waters are expected to be very rough over the next 24 hours.
Wave heights along the northern seaboard of Batanes may reach up to 5.5 meters. The seaboard of the Babuyan Islands, the remaining seaboard of Batanes, the northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan, and the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte face swells of up to 5.0 meters. Seas off northern Ilocos Sur and the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan may reach up to 4.5 meters.
PAGASA advised that "sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels" in these areas, urging all mariners to remain in port or, if already underway, to seek shelter or safe harbor immediately.
Rough Seas Along Eastern Luzon and Parts of Visayas
Rough seas of up to 4.0 meters are expected along the seaboards of Isabela, northern Aurora, the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands, and the northern seaboard of Camarines Norte. Wave heights of up to 3.5 meters are forecast for northern Quezon, the northwestern seaboard of Pangasinan, the northern seaboards of the Kalayaan Islands and Camarines Sur, and the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Sur and Aurora.
Seas up to 3.0 meters are expected off La Union, the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, the northeastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar, and the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. PAGASA warned that "mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea" in rough-sea areas, particularly those who are inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Moderate seas of up to 2.5 meters are forecast for the southern seaboard of Catanduanes, the northern seaboard of Northern Samar, the eastern seaboards of Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands, the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan and the Kalayaan Islands, and the northern seaboard of Zambales. Seas of up to 2.0 meters cover a broader range of coastal waters including Palawan and its island groups, Lubang Islands, Caluya Islands, Surigao del Sur, the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental, and portions of Mindoro and Quezon.
All other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 meters, according to PAGASA.
Final Bulletin Issued Unless Samuel Re-enters PAR
PAGASA stated that Bulletin No. 2F is the final bulletin for Typhoon Samuel "unless re-entry occurs." The agency continued to advise the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices to take all necessary protective measures, and urged residents in areas highly susceptible to hazards to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
PAGASA reminded the public to monitor products issued by local PAGASA Regional Services Division offices for heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm and rainfall advisories, and other area-specific severe weather information.
Photo credit: Photo courtesy of PAGASA/DOST