QUEZON CITY — Residents across the Bicol Peninsula, Eastern Visayas, and parts of Mindanao should brace for cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms on Sunday, November 8, 2026, with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) flagging the risk of flash floods and landslides in those areas. The national weather bureau issued its 24-hour public weather forecast at 4:00 AM today, valid until 4:00 AM on Monday, November 9.
At the same time, the northeast monsoon is keeping skies cloudy and bringing light rains to Northern and Central Luzon
What Is Driving Today's Weather?
PAGASA identifies two distinct weather systems at work today.
The northeast monsoon — locally known as amihan — is affecting Northern and Central Luzon. The amihan is a seasonal wind pattern that blows from the northeast, typically bringing cooler, drier air to the northern part of the country and cloudier, wetter conditions along east-facing coastlines and mountain slopes.
The easterlies are affecting the rest of the country. These are winds blowing in from the Pacific Ocean toward the Philippine landmass. When moisture-laden easterlies interact with the Philippine terrain, they can trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms — sometimes intense — particularly over coastal and elevated areas exposed to the Pacific.
Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Storm Cempaka — with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center and gusts of up to 135 km/h — is located 1,865 km east of extreme Northern Luzon as of 3:00 AM today. It is outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is moving west-northwestward at 30 km/h. PAGASA has not placed any part of the country under a tropical cyclone wind signal in connection with Cempaka, and the storm is not directly causing today's domestic weather conditions.
Region-by-Region Forecast
Luzon
In Northern Luzon, the northeast monsoon is most strongly felt. Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Kalinga, and Mountain Province can expect cloudy skies with light rains throughout the day. PAGASA notes no significant weather impact for these provinces.
The Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, the rest of the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), and the rest of Cagayan Valley will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains, also attributed to the northeast monsoon and carrying no significant weather impact.
Quezon Province faces a heavier outlook: cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms, driven by the easterlies. PAGASA warns of possible flash floods or landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rains.
The Bicol Region is similarly at risk, with cloudy skies and scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms expected. Flash floods and landslides are possible, particularly in low-lying areas and on steep slopes.
Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon not specifically listed can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, caused by the easterlies. PAGASA cautions that flash floods and landslides are possible during severe thunderstorms.
Visayas
Eastern Visayas is among the areas most affected today. PAGASA forecasts cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms, with possible flash floods or landslides from moderate to at times heavy rains. Residents in provinces such as Samar, Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, and Leyte should remain vigilant.
The rest of the Visayas falls under the broader nationwide category: partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, with flash flood and landslide risk during severe thunderstorms.
Mindanao
In Mindanao, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands share the same high-alert forecast as Bicol and Eastern Visayas — cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms, with possible flash floods or landslides from moderate to heavy rains.
Davao Oriental is specifically singled out by PAGASA for rains and thunderstorms today.
The rest of Mindanao can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, with the standard caution on flash floods and landslides during thunderstorm episodes.
Decoding the Warnings: What PAGASA Is Telling You
PAGASA has not raised any tropical cyclone wind signal over the Philippines in connection with Severe Tropical Storm Cempaka, which remains far outside PAR.
However, the agency's language on flash floods and landslides is an active hazard advisory — not a minor note. When PAGASA says "possible flash floods or landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rains," This language applies to Bicol, Eastern Visayas, Quezon province, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Oriental today.
If you are unsure how to interpret PAGASA's different warning levels and what actions they call for, refer to our guide on how to read PAGASA's weather warnings for a plain-language breakdown of rainfall color codes, storm signals, and heat-index categories.
No gale warning has been mentioned for today's forecast, but PAGASA does flag rough to moderate seas across several zones (see wind and sea conditions below), which carry their own safety implications for maritime users.
Wind and Sea Conditions
Mariners and fisherfolk should pay close attention to conditions by area:
Northern Luzon faces the most dangerous seas today. PAGASA forecasts moderate to strong northeast winds with moderate to rough coastal waters, with wave heights of 1.5 to 4.0 meters. These conditions are hazardous for small vessels and bangka operators.
The rest of Luzon will experience light to moderate northeast winds with slight to moderate coastal waters, wave heights of 0.6 to 2.5 meters. Exercise caution on open water.
Visayas and Mindanao will also see light to moderate northeast winds, with slight to moderate coastal waters and wave heights of 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
What It Means for You
Commuters
If you are commuting in Metro Manila, Bicol, Eastern Visayas, Quezon province, Surigao, or Davao Oriental today, expect the possibility of heavy, sudden downpours. Flooding in low-lying streets and underpasses can develop quickly during thunderstorms. Allow extra travel time and monitor local advisories before heading out.
Fisherfolk and Small-Boat Operators
The seas off Northern Luzon are rough today, with waves reaching up to 4.0 meters. PAGASA strongly advises small vessel operators in this zone to remain in port or take shelter. Even in areas with slight to moderate seas — the rest of Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao — sudden squalls during thunderstorm episodes can make conditions more dangerous than the baseline forecast suggests. Do not venture out without checking the latest PAGASA maritime bulletin.
Farmers
Farmers in Bicol, Eastern Visayas, Surigao, and Davao Oriental should secure crops and equipment ahead of potential heavy rainfall and thunderstorms. Standing water from flash floods can damage lowland crops rapidly. Those in Northern Luzon under light rains from the amihan face lower risk today but should still monitor for changing conditions.
Students, Parents, and School Administrators
Schools in areas flagged for scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms — particularly in Bicol, Eastern Visayas, Quezon province, Surigao, and Davao Oriental — should monitor local government and DepEd advisories. Localized flooding during thunderstorms can disrupt dismissal and transport arrangements.
Outdoor Workers
Construction workers, delivery riders, and others working outdoors in affected provinces should be prepared for interrupted work during thunderstorm periods. Avoid elevated or open ground during lightning activity. Those near rivers, streams, or slopes in flash-flood-warned areas should know evacuation routes and act on local government instructions immediately if water levels rise.
Temperature and Humidity
PAGASA's Science Garden weather station in Diliman, Quezon City recorded a maximum temperature of 32.5°C at 3:00 PM and a minimum of 24.2°C at 2:00 AM during the 24-hour period ending at 8:00 PM yesterday, November 7. Relative humidity peaked at 86% at 2:00 AM and dropped to a low of 50% at 3:00 PM.
Tides and Astronomical Information (Metro Manila)
For reference, today's tide schedule for Manila Bay, as provided by NAMRIA: Low tide at 3:48 AM (0.05 m), High tide at 10:08 AM (0.53 m), Low tide at 2:18 PM (0.34 m), and High tide at 9:11 PM (0.94 m). Sunrise is at 5:54 AM and sunset at 5:26 PM. The moon is at 1% illumination, rising at 4:46 AM and setting at 4:32 PM.
Bottom Line: If you live in or are traveling to Bicol, Eastern Visayas, Quezon province, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Dinagat Islands, or Davao Oriental today — Sunday, November 8 — stay alert for sudden heavy rainfall that could trigger flash floods or landslides, and act immediately on any evacuation call from your local government. Everyone else across the country should keep an umbrella handy and check for updates throughout the day.
Monitor official PAGASA updates at pagasa.dost.gov.ph.