MANILA, August 7, 2026 — A low pressure area east of Isabela and the southwest monsoon are bringing rain, thunderstorms, and rough coastal waters to large parts of the Philippines today, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). The agency issued its 24-hour public weather forecast at 4:00 AM on August 7, 2026, valid until 4:00 AM on August 8.
Residents across Central and Southern Luzon and parts of the Visayas should expect cloudy and wet conditions throughout the day, with the risk of flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas. Coastal communities and maritime workers face rough to very rough seas in several zones.
What Is Driving Today's Weather
Two weather systems are responsible for today's conditions nationwide.
The first is a Low Pressure Area (LPA) — the remnant of what was formerly Tropical Storm "Maymay" — which PAGASA placed at approximately 565 kilometers east of Echague, Isabela (coordinates 16.7°N, 127.2°E) as of 3:00 AM today. An LPA is a mass of warm, rising air that draws surrounding moisture toward it, generating cloudiness and rainfall in nearby areas. Because this system is east of Luzon, it is feeding moisture into the eastern portions of the main island, keeping conditions unsettled.
The second driver is the southwest monsoon, known locally as habagat. The habagat is a seasonal wind pattern where moisture-laden winds blow in from the southwest, typically from the South China Sea and the Sulu Sea. It is the dominant rainy-season wind for the western side of the country. PAGASA reports that habagat is currently affecting Central and Southern Luzon and the western section of the Visayas, pushing persistent cloud cover and rain into those areas.
A separate system — Typhoon Dolphin (2613) — is active but remains outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), located about 1,096 kilometers northeast of extreme Northern Luzon as of 2:00 AM today. It is packing maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gusts of up to 170 km/h, and is moving west-northwestward at 20 km/h. PAGASA is monitoring Dolphin, but the typhoon is not directly affecting Philippine weather at this time and no warnings have been raised over any part of the country in connection with it.
Region-by-Region Forecast
Luzon
Conditions vary considerably across Luzon depending on location relative to the LPA and the habagat.
Batanes and the Babuyan Islands — the country's northernmost island groups — will experience cloudy skies with light to moderate rains. Seas in these waters are expected to be moderate to rough, and PAGASA reports that coastal conditions here could be hazardous for small vessels.
Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, and Antique are under the influence of the southwest monsoon. Residents in these areas can expect cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms. PAGASA warns of the possibility of flash floods or landslides, particularly during periods of heavy or prolonged rainfall. People living near low-lying areas, riverbanks, and hillsides should remain alert.
The rest of Luzon — covering the remaining provinces of the main island — will also see cloudy skies with scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms, driven by a combination of LPA influence and the prevailing monsoon. The risk of flash floods and landslides also applies to these areas.
Visayas
The western section of the Visayas is directly affected by habagat, and residents there should brace for cloudy skies with scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms, along with the associated risk of flooding and landslides in susceptible communities.
Other parts of the Visayas not directly covered by the monsoon will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with localized thunderstorms. While conditions may appear calmer in some areas, localized downpours can be sudden and intense, so residents should not be caught off-guard.
Mindanao
Most of Mindanao is away from the direct influence of both the LPA and the habagat today. The island will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with the possibility of localized thunderstorms. These brief, isolated showers are typical of fair-weather conditions and are not expected to be widespread. Residents in Mindanao may enjoy relatively more stable weather compared to those farther north, but should still be mindful of the possibility of sudden afternoon or evening showers.
Decoding the Warnings: What Each Condition Means for You
PAGASA has not raised any Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal over any part of the Philippines in connection with Typhoon Dolphin, as it remains well outside PAR. However, the agency has flagged significant coastal hazards linked to the LPA and the habagat. Understanding how to read PAGASA's weather warnings can help you make better decisions during rainy season.
Coastal and maritime warnings are in effect across multiple sea areas. PAGASA describes the following forecast wind and wave conditions:
- Northern Luzon seas: Moderate to strong winds, with moderate to rough seas (wave heights at levels considered hazardous for small vessels).
- Southern Luzon seas: Strong winds from the southwest, producing moderate to rough seas.
- Visayas and nearby coastal waters: Southwest winds generating moderate to rough seas.
"Rough seas" in PAGASA's terminology means wave conditions are dangerous for small boats and bancas. Fisherfolk, ferry passengers, and coastal communities should treat these warnings seriously. Small boat operators and fishermen are strongly advised to remain in port or return to shore in all affected sea areas.
The risk of flash floods and landslides flagged for Metro Manila, Southern Luzon provinces, and parts of the Visayas is not a formal rainfall warning level but is a direct advisory embedded in today's forecast. It means that if heavy rain falls continuously for even a short period, low-lying communities, riverbanks, and steep slopes could be affected quickly. Do not wait for water to rise before evacuating if you live in these areas.
What Today's Forecast Means for You
Commuters
Metro Manila and surrounding provinces face scattered rains with thunderstorms throughout the day. Expect possible waterlogging in low-lying streets, reduced visibility during downpours, and traffic slowdowns. Carry an umbrella or raincoat and allow extra travel time, especially during the morning and evening rush hours. Monitor local government advisories if flooding is reported in your area.
Fisherfolk and Small Boat Operators
This is the most urgent guidance in today's forecast. Rough to very rough seas are expected off Northern Luzon, Southern Luzon, and across Visayan waters. Do not go out to sea in small watercraft today. The combination of strong southwest winds and swell driven by the LPA creates dangerous conditions that can capsize small boats rapidly. Those already at sea should return to the nearest safe harbor immediately.
Farmers
The habagat-driven rains may provide some soil moisture benefit across Central and Southern Luzon, but farmers in flood-prone lowland areas should secure crops and farm equipment. Prolonged rainfall raises the risk of inundation for rice paddies and vegetable farms in low-lying fields. Check drainage channels and be ready to act if water levels rise.
Students and Parents
Schools in Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, and other habagat-affected provinces should watch for class suspension advisories from local government units. While PAGASA has not issued storm signals, local conditions — including flash flood risk — may prompt authorities to suspend classes. Check your school's official channels and local government announcements before heading out.
Outdoor and Construction Workers
Workers in open-air environments across Luzon and the western Visayas should have rain gear ready. Thunderstorms can develop quickly, bringing lightning risk to elevated workplaces such as construction scaffolding, rooftops, and open fields. Supervisors should establish clear protocols for suspending work during lightning activity.
Temperature Outlook
PAGASA's recorded data from the previous day shows a maximum temperature of 32.8°C and a minimum of 25.0°C at the Manila observation station. Relative humidity stood at 94% at 8:00 AM and 86% at 8:00 PM. The combination of high humidity and daytime temperatures means it will feel muggy and warm during breaks in the rain, especially in urban areas where the heat island effect adds to discomfort. Stay hydrated and avoid strenuous outdoor activity during the warmest part of the afternoon if you are in a dry or partly cloudy area.
Bottom Line
The most important thing to do today: if you live near a river, a hillside, or a low-lying area in Metro Manila, Southern Luzon, or the western Visayas, stay alert for rapidly rising floodwater and be ready to move to higher ground quickly. Fisherfolk should stay off the water entirely. Everyone else should carry rain gear, allow extra travel time, and keep checking PAGASA updates throughout the day as conditions may change.
Monitor official PAGASA updates at pagasa.dost.gov.ph